Free NBA pick · Thu, Nov 5, 2026

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat prediction and pick

Our free NBA pick for this game: Heat + 6.5 (spread) at odds of 1.75, staked at 1.00u. Below is the full write-up, and the result once the game is graded.

By SlipBets Team · Published Thu, Nov 5, 8:54 PM UTC

NBA / Spread

Free pick

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat

Heat + 6.5

Odds 1.75 · Stake 1.00u

Starts Fri, Nov 6, 3:00 AM UTCPublished Thu, Nov 5, 8:54 PM UTC

Why we took it

Golden State is without four players due to injuries, per the latest Warriors injury report, which thins the rotation behind Curry. Miami also arrives off an overtime comeback win over the Clippers, so the Heat have shown they can close late.

Warriors injury report lists four players out for this game

Main risk: Golden State's home streak and rest edge may be underrated by this line.

Sources:basketnews.com pickdawgz.com sports.yahoo.com

Result

Lost · -1.00u

Graded and added to the public record. Profit is in units at the published odds and stake.

Final score

From ESPN once the game was marked final.

Golden State Warriors 120 – 100 Miami Heat

What the odds say

Decimal odds of 1.75 imply a 57.1% chance (100 ÷ 1.75), before the bookmaker's margin. That is also the share of bets like this one that must win just to break even over time.

At a stake of 1.00u, a win returns 1.00 × (1.75 − 1) = +0.75u, a loss costs −1.00u, and a push or void returns the stake. See the methodology for how every pick is graded, and the unit calculator to turn units into your own stake.

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