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Free NBA pick · Thu, Oct 22, 2026

Philadelphia 76ers vs Cleveland Cavaliers prediction and pick

Our free NBA pick for this game: Evan Mobley (CLE) o 12.5 Reb/Ast (player prop) at odds of 2.00, staked at 0.50u. Below is the full write-up, and the result once the game is graded.

By SlipBets Team · Published

Pre-game odds · DraftKings

Spread
PHI -2.5
Total
O/U 236.5
Moneyline
CLE +120 · PHI -142

Cleveland Cavaliers at Philadelphia 76ers. Lines as listed by ESPN before tip-off; they move, so check your own book.

NBA / Player prop

Free pick

Philadelphia 76ers vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Evan Mobley (CLE) o 12.5 Reb/Ast

Odds 2.00 · Stake 0.50u

Starts Published

Why we took it

Cleveland opens its 2026-27 season Thursday at Philadelphia, where the Cavaliers' rotation arrives intact at the top. Mobley's combined rebounds and assists give him a steady path to this line.

  • Mobley averaged 7.6 rebounds and 4.1 assists over his last 10 games
  • Cleveland enters with its top rotation intact, per previews of the opener

Main risk: Philadelphia's highly skilled frontcourt could limit Mobley's rebounds and force the ball out of his hands.

Analysis written by AI from recent news, Not a guarantee. Bet responsibly.

Result

Lost · -0.50u

Graded and added to the public record. Profit is in units at the published odds and stake.

Final score

From ESPN once the game was marked final.

Philadelphia 76ers 114 – 106 Cleveland Cavaliers

Evan Mobley: 10 rebounds + assists in 34 minutes (the pick was over 12.5).

Evan Mobley: last 10 games

Rebounds + assists per game before this one, against the line of 12.5.

Over 12.5 in 4 of 10

Recent average

11.7 rebounds + assists

Games matching the pick

4 / 10

Line 12.5
5/75/95/115/135/155/175/195/215/235/25

Minutes played

Average: 37.2 min

Selected game · May 25, 2026

vs New York Knicks

11 rebounds + assists33 minutesDid not match the pick · over 12.5
Matches pickOther / on lineOldest → newest · select a bar in either chart for game detailsSwipe the charts to see all games.Evan Mobley averaged 11.7 rebounds + assists across 10 games. 4 matched over 12.5. Individual values are in the table below.

Historical frequency is context, not the probability of this pick winning.

Evan Mobley: recent game log, newest first
DateOpponentMinrebounds + assists
May 25, 2026vs New York Knicks3311
May 23, 2026vs New York Knicks368
May 21, 2026at New York Knicks379
May 19, 2026at New York Knicks4017
May 17, 2026at Detroit Pistons3618
May 15, 2026vs Detroit Pistons368
May 13, 2026at Detroit Pistons4316
May 11, 2026vs Detroit Pistons3913
May 9, 2026vs Detroit Pistons3612
May 7, 2026at Detroit Pistons365

Recent form

Each team's last games before this one. Early in a season these can include last season and preseason games.

Philadelphia 76ers (home)

WLLLW

2 wins / 5 games

Latest first

  • W106-100at New York KnicksOct 20, 2026
  • L120-125vs Boston CelticsOct 16, 2026
  • L106-144at Boston CelticsOct 10, 2026
  • L108-114at Brooklyn NetsOct 8, 2026
  • W120-97vs New York KnicksOct 5, 2026

Cleveland Cavaliers (away)

LWLLL

1 wins / 5 games

Latest first

  • L116-132at Orlando MagicOct 13, 2026
  • W119-105vs Orlando MagicOct 11, 2026
  • L113-124vs Boston CelticsOct 8, 2026
  • L93-130vs New York KnicksMay 25, 2026
  • L108-121vs New York KnicksMay 23, 2026

Injury report

Players listed by ESPN before tip-off.

Philadelphia 76ers

  • Dean WadeOut(Ankle)
  • Tacko FallOut(Quadriceps)
  • Dominick BarlowOut(Back)
  • Ariel HukportiOut(Achilles)

Cleveland Cavaliers

  • Khalifa DiopOut(Knee)
  • Nae'Qwan TomlinOut(Back)

Win probability

ESPN's matchup predictor, not a SlipBets model.

Philadelphia 76ers

Home

71.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers

Away

28.3%

Matchup winner only; this does not estimate a player prop's chance of winning.

Game data from ESPN, taken and frozen at tip-off.

What the odds say

Decimal odds of 2.00 imply a 50.0% chance (100 ÷ 2.00), before the bookmaker's margin. That is also the share of bets like this one that must win just to break even over time.

At a stake of 0.50u, a win returns 0.50 × (2.00 − 1) = +0.50u, a loss costs −0.50u, and a push or void returns the stake. See the methodology for how every pick is graded, and the unit calculator to turn units into your own stake.

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