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Free NHL pick · Wed, Nov 11, 2026

Calgary Flames vs New York Rangers prediction and pick

Our free NHL pick for this game: Morgan Frost (CGY) 1+ Ast (player prop) at odds of 2.70, staked at 0.50u. Below is the full write-up, and the result once the game is graded.

By SlipBets Team · Published

Pre-game odds · DraftKings

Puck line
NYR -1.5
Total
O/U 5.5
Moneyline
NYR -142 · CGY +120

New York Rangers at Calgary Flames. Lines as listed by ESPN before puck drop; they move, so check your own book.

NHL / Player prop

Free pick

Calgary Flames vs New York Rangers

Morgan Frost (CGY) 1+ Ast

Odds 2.70 · Stake 0.50u

Starts Published

Why we took it

Frost gets a home matchup against a Rangers team that has struggled on the road this season. Calgary's home record gives the Flames the better setup in this one. The assist market is a modest ask for a middle-six forward in a game where Calgary should control play.

Main risk: Calgary's recent overtime win came in a tight, low-scoring game, a reminder this offense can stay quiet.

Sources:espn.comsports.yahoo.com
Analysis written by AI from recent news, Not a guarantee. Bet responsibly.

Result

Lost · -0.50u

Graded and added to the public record. Profit is in units at the published odds and stake.

Final score

From the NHL once the game was marked final.

Calgary Flames 1 – 3 New York Rangers

Morgan Frost: 0 assists in 17 minutes of ice time (the pick was over 0.5).

Morgan Frost: last 10 games

Assists per game before this one, against the line of 0.5.

Over 0.5 in 5 of 10

This season

7 / 18 games

over 0.5 · average 0.4 assists

At home

5 / 10 games

over 0.5 · average 0.6 assists

Avg ice time (last 10)
14.7 min
Shots on goal per game
1.4
Power-play points (season)
6

Recent average

0.6 assists

Games matching the pick

5 / 10

Line 0.5
10/2210/2410/2610/2810/3010/3111/211/411/611/8

Ice time

Average: 14.7 min

Selected game · Nov 8, 2026

vs Flyers

0 assists17.6 min of ice timeDid not match the pick · over 0.5
Matches pickOther / on lineOldest → newest · select a bar in either chart for game detailsSwipe the charts to see all games.Morgan Frost averaged 0.6 assists across 10 games. 5 matched over 0.5. Individual values are in the table below.

Historical frequency is context, not the probability of this pick winning.

Morgan Frost: recent game log, newest first
DateOpponentTOIassists
Nov 8, 2026vs Flyers17.60
Nov 6, 2026vs Ducks13.32
Nov 4, 2026at Kraken15.21
Nov 2, 2026at Sharks14.50
Oct 31, 2026at Avalanche14.30
Oct 30, 2026vs Kraken16.91
Oct 28, 2026at Oilers13.30
Oct 26, 2026vs Maple Leafs16.20
Oct 24, 2026vs Red Wings12.31
Oct 22, 2026vs Wild13.31

Recent form

Each team's season so far and its last five regular-season games before this one, from the NHL.

Calgary Flames (home)

5th in the Pacific

Record
8-9-1
Last 10
6-3-1
Streak
W1
Goals for / game
2.6
Goals against / game
3.5
Home
6-4-0
Road
2-5-1

Records are wins-losses-overtime losses.

WLLWL

2 wins / 5 games

Latest first

  • W4-3 OTvs Philadelphia FlyersNov 8, 2026
  • L3-5vs Anaheim DucksNov 6, 2026
  • L1-2 OTat Seattle KrakenNov 4, 2026
  • W2-1at San Jose SharksNov 2, 2026
  • L2-5at Colorado AvalancheOct 31, 2026

New York Rangers (away)

3rd in the Metropolitan

Record
10-8-1
Last 10
4-5-1
Streak
L1
Goals for / game
2.9
Goals against / game
2.9
Home
8-2-0
Road
2-6-1

Records are wins-losses-overtime losses.

LWWWL

3 wins / 5 games

Latest first

  • L1-3at Edmonton OilersNov 9, 2026
  • W4-3at Seattle KrakenNov 7, 2026
  • W3-2vs Philadelphia FlyersNov 5, 2026
  • W3-1vs St. Louis BluesNov 3, 2026
  • L1-4vs Edmonton OilersNov 1, 2026

Goaltending

Each team's goalies this season, from the NHL. Starters are confirmed close to puck drop.
Calgary Flames
GoalieGPRecordGAASV%
Devin Cooley85-3-02.71.914
Dustin Wolf103-5-13.75.869
New York Rangers
GoalieGPRecordGAASV%
Dylan Garand146-7-12.48.905
Joonas Korpisalo11-0-03.04.893

Players in form

Leaders over each team's last five games, from the NHL. Season series: Series starts 11/11.
Last five games leaders by team
Last 5 gamesNew York RangersCalgary Flames
PointsMika Zibanejad 5Zayne Parekh 4
GoalsPavel Dorofeyev 3Joel Farabee 3
AssistsMika Zibanejad 5Morgan Frost 3

Injury report

Players listed by ESPN before puck drop.

Calgary Flames

  • Kevin BahlInjured Reserve(Achilles)
  • Jonathan HuberdeauInjured Reserve(Hip)
  • Connor ZaryOut(Knee)
  • Samuel HonzekInjured Reserve(Lower Body)

New York Rangers

  • Alberts SmitsInjured Reserve(Upper Body)
  • Sean DurziInjured Reserve(Lower Body)
  • Igor ShesterkinInjured Reserve(Knee)
  • Joe VelenoInjured Reserve(Lower Body)
  • Aidan ThompsonInjured Reserve(Undisclosed)

Win probability

The chance the moneylines imply once the bookmaker's margin is taken out, not a SlipBets model.

Calgary Flames

Home

43.7%

New York Rangers

Away

56.3%

Matchup winner only; this does not estimate a player prop's chance of winning.

Game data from the NHL and ESPN, taken and frozen at puck drop.

What the odds say

Decimal odds of 2.70 imply a 37.0% chance (100 ÷ 2.70), before the bookmaker's margin. That is also the share of bets like this one that must win just to break even over time.

At a stake of 0.50u, a win returns 0.50 × (2.70 − 1) = +0.85u, a loss costs −0.50u, and a push or void returns the stake. See the methodology for how every pick is graded, and the unit calculator to turn units into your own stake.

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