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Free NHL pick · Mon, Nov 9, 2026

San Jose Sharks vs New York Islanders prediction and pick

Our free NHL pick for this game: Kyle Palmieri (NYI) 1+ Goals (player prop) at odds of 3.95, staked at 0.50u. Below is the full write-up, and the result once the game is graded.

By SlipBets Team · Published

Pre-game odds · DraftKings

Puck line
NYI -1.5
Total
O/U 6.5
Moneyline
NYI -142 · SJS +120

New York Islanders at San Jose Sharks. Lines as listed by ESPN before puck drop; they move, so check your own book.

NHL / Player prop

Free pick

San Jose Sharks vs New York Islanders

Kyle Palmieri (NYI) 1+ Goals

Odds 3.95 · Stake 0.50u

Starts Published

Why we took it

Palmieri gets a Sharks team that has won just three of eight on home ice, giving the Islanders' offense a softer matchup. New York is looking to end a three-game slide, which points to a heavier push from its top forwards.

  • San Jose is 3-5-0 at home this season

Main risk: The Islanders are on a three-game losing streak and may struggle to generate offense.

Sources:nhl.comabc7news.com
Analysis written by AI from recent news, Not a guarantee. Bet responsibly.

Result

Lost · -0.50u

Graded and added to the public record. Profit is in units at the published odds and stake.

Final score

From the NHL once the game was marked final.

San Jose Sharks 3 – 2 New York Islanders

Kyle Palmieri: 0 goals in 15.7 minutes of ice time (the pick was over 0.5).

Kyle Palmieri: last 10 games

Goals per game before this one, against the line of 0.5.

Over 0.5 in 1 of 10

This season

2 / 16 games

over 0.5 · average 0.2 goals

On the road

1 / 7 games

over 0.5 · average 0.1 goals

Avg ice time (last 10)
17.4 min
Shots on goal per game
2.2
Power-play points (season)
0

Recent average

0.1 goals

Games matching the pick

1 / 10

Line 0.5
10/1510/1710/2010/2210/2510/2710/2910/3111/511/7

Ice time

Average: 17.4 min

Selected game · Nov 7, 2026

vs Devils

0 goals15 min of ice timeDid not match the pick · over 0.5
Matches pickOther / on lineOldest → newest · select a bar in either chart for game detailsSwipe the charts to see all games.Kyle Palmieri averaged 0.1 goals across 10 games. 1 matched over 0.5. Individual values are in the table below.

Historical frequency is context, not the probability of this pick winning.

Kyle Palmieri: recent game log, newest first
DateOpponentTOIgoals
Nov 7, 2026vs Devils150
Nov 5, 2026vs Hurricanes19.10
Oct 31, 2026vs Oilers17.40
Oct 29, 2026at Wild17.10
Oct 27, 2026at Predators20.60
Oct 25, 2026at Stars171
Oct 22, 2026vs Kings16.80
Oct 20, 2026vs Ducks19.20
Oct 17, 2026at Maple Leafs14.60
Oct 15, 2026at Senators17.20

Recent form

Each team's season so far and its last five regular-season games before this one, from the NHL.

San Jose Sharks (home)

6th in the Pacific

Record
7-11-1
Last 10
3-7-0
Streak
L5
Goals for / game
2.5
Goals against / game
3.6
Home
3-5-0
Road
4-6-1

Records are wins-losses-overtime losses.

LLLLL

0 wins / 5 games

Latest first

  • L3-4at Dallas StarsNov 7, 2026
  • L1-4at Minnesota WildNov 6, 2026
  • L2-7at Los Angeles KingsNov 4, 2026
  • L1-2vs Calgary FlamesNov 2, 2026
  • L1-5vs Ottawa SenatorsOct 31, 2026

New York Islanders (away)

5th in the Metropolitan

Record
7-6-3
Last 10
4-3-3
Streak
OT1
Goals for / game
2.9
Goals against / game
3.1
Home
4-3-2
Road
3-3-1

Records are wins-losses-overtime losses.

LLLWW

2 wins / 5 games

Latest first

  • L4-5 OTvs New Jersey DevilsNov 7, 2026
  • L3-5vs Carolina HurricanesNov 5, 2026
  • L0-4vs Edmonton OilersOct 31, 2026
  • W4-3 OTat Minnesota WildOct 29, 2026
  • W4-3 SOat Nashville PredatorsOct 27, 2026

Goaltending

Each team's goalies this season, from the NHL. Starters are confirmed close to puck drop.
San Jose Sharks
GoalieGPRecordGAASV%
Alex Nedeljkovic73-3-13.23.895
Yaroslav Askarov124-8-03.35.885
New York Islanders
GoalieGPRecordGAASV%
Ilya Sorokin116-4-12.64.910
Semyon Varlamov51-2-22.72.892

Players in form

Leaders over each team's last five games, from the NHL. Season series: Series starts 11/9.
Last five games leaders by team
Last 5 gamesNew York IslandersSan Jose Sharks
PointsMatthew Schaefer 6Macklin Celebrini 5
GoalsMatthew Schaefer 3Macklin Celebrini 2
AssistsMatthew Schaefer 3Macklin Celebrini 3

Injury report

Players listed by ESPN before puck drop.

San Jose Sharks

  • Igor ChernyshovInjured Reserve(Upper Body)
  • Quentin MustyInjured Reserve(Upper Body)
  • Kyle KeyserInjured Reserve(Upper Body)

New York Islanders

  • Matias MaccelliInjured Reserve(Lower Body)
  • Mathew BarzalInjured Reserve(Knee)
  • Ryan PulockOut(Upper Body)
  • Calum RitchieInjured Reserve(Lower Body)
  • Alexander RomanovInjured Reserve(Knee)

Win probability

The chance the moneylines imply once the bookmaker's margin is taken out, not a SlipBets model.

San Jose Sharks

Home

43.7%

New York Islanders

Away

56.3%

Matchup winner only; this does not estimate a player prop's chance of winning.

Game data from the NHL and ESPN, taken and frozen at puck drop.

What the odds say

Decimal odds of 3.95 imply a 25.3% chance (100 ÷ 3.95), before the bookmaker's margin. That is also the share of bets like this one that must win just to break even over time.

At a stake of 0.50u, a win returns 0.50 × (3.95 − 1) = +1.48u, a loss costs −0.50u, and a push or void returns the stake. See the methodology for how every pick is graded, and the unit calculator to turn units into your own stake.

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